“The depression (remnant of cyclonic storm ‘Michaung’) over northeast Telangana and adjoining south Chhattisgarh-south Interior Odisha-Coastal Andhra Pradesh moved slowly north-northeastwards during past 6 hours and weakened into a well-marked low-pressure area over the same region at 8.30 am today,” the Bhubaneswar Meteorological Centre informed.

The system is likely to continue to move nearly north-northeastwards and weaken further into a low-pressure area during next 12 hours, it added.

According to MeT officials, the chances of rain havoc in Odisha districts were reduced as the severe cyclonic storm Michaung, which ripped through Andhra Pradesh coast on Tuesday afternoon, moved northwards.

Though there is no more cyclone threat for Odisha, Michaung’s remnants will cause heavy rain in some parts of the state during the day. The IMD has issued yellow warning of heavy rain for one or two places in Malkangiri, Koraput, Nabarangpur, and Nuapada. Light to moderate rain/thundershower is also likely at most places in South interior Odisha and at many places in remaining parts of the state.

The weather agency has also warned of some damage to crops and vegetables in the view of the possible heavy rain.

Squally wind speed reaching 35-45 kmph gusting to 55 kmph is prevailing along and off Odisha coast and adjoining northwest Bay of Bengal. It is likely to continue during next 6 hours and would gradually decrease thereafter, it further said.

Light to moderate rain may also continue at a few places in the state on Thursday. Dry weather will prevail thereafter. “There will be no large change in night temperature during next 2 days and then fall by 2-3°C in subsequent 3 days,” it added.

Notably, Odisha recorded an average rainfall of 6.5 mm in the last 24 hours as Malkangiri, Koraput and Rayagada received very heavy rainfall on Tuesday night under the influence of the tropical storm even as it has started losing its intensity gradually. The highest downpour of 106 mm was recoded in Pottangi block in Koraput district, it added.

The weather agency, however, has issued no weather warning for Odisha. While light to moderate rain/thundershower may occur at a few places in Koraput, Nabarangpur, Rayagada, Gajapati, and one or two places in Kalahandi, Malkangiri, Kandhamal, Ganjam and Nuapada districts during the day, dry weather is likely to prevail across the state thereafter till the end of this month (November 30). There will also be no large change in the night temperature during the next five days, it added.

The Met office has, however, forecast squally weather with wind speed reaching 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph over south Andaman Sea on November 26, increasing to 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph over south Andaman Sea and adjoining Southeast Bay of Bengal during November 27-28 and 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph over south Andaman Sea and adjoining Southeast Bay of Bengal during November 29-30. Fishermen have been advised not to venture into South Andaman Sea on November 26-27 and Southeast Bay of Bengal on November 27.

In its Tropical Weather Outlook, the agency said the GFS group of models are indicating further intensification of this system into a cyclonic storm. “These models are indicating initial west-northwestwards movement till December 1, followed by northwards movement thereafter. However, gradual weakening is indicated on December 3 over west-central Bay of Bengal,” it added.

“It is likely to move west-northwestwards and intensify into a depression over West central Bay of Bengal during next 6 hours. Thereafter, it would move northwestwards and may intensify into a deep depression over West central Bay of Bengal off Andhra Pradesh coast on November 16. Subsequently, it would recurve north-northeastwards and reach Northwest Bay of Bengal off Odisha coast on November 15.”

The weather agency has issued orange warning of isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall ranging from 115.6 to 204.4 mm for coastal Odisha on November 16.

It had earlier predicted light to moderate rainfall at a few places in coastal districts of Odisha on November 15 with the intensity of downpour increasing in the subsequent two days with isolated very heavy rainfall on November 16. Yellow warning was issued for November 16-17.

NOVEMBER 15

Light to moderate rain/thundershower may occur at a few places in Puri, Jagatsinghpur, Khurda, Ganjam, Gajapati, Rayagada, Koraput and at one or two places in Nabarangpur, Malkangiri, Kendrapada, Bhadrak, Nayagarh, Kandhamal, Kalahandi and Cuttack.

NOVEMBER 16

Yellow warning of heavy to very heavy rainfall has been issued for one or two places in Jagatsinghpur, Kendrapada, Puri . Heavy rainfall also likely at one or two places in Ganjam, Khurda, Bhadrak , Cuttack, Jajpur, Balasore, Mayurbhanj, Keonjhar, Dhenkanal, Nayagarh districts.

Light to moderate rain/thundershower may also occur at most places places in Ganjam, Puri, Jajpur, Kendrapada, Bhadrak, Cuttack, Khurda, Nayagarh and at many places in Balasore, Gajapati, Dhenkanal, Mayurbhanj, Keonjhar, Jajpur & at a few places in Angul, Boudh, Kandhamal, Kalahandi and at one or two places in remaining districts of Odisha.

NOVEMBER 17

Yellow warning of heavy rainfall issued for one or two places in Mayurbhanj, Keonjhar, Balasore, Bhadrak, Jajpur, Dhenkanal, and Kendrapada.

Light to moderate rain/thundershower may also occur at most places places in Balasore, Bhadrak, Mayurbhanj, Jajpur and at many places in Kendrapada, Keonjhar, Dhenkanal, Jagatsinghpur, Cuttack, Khurda, Puri and at a few places in Angul, Sundargarh, Deogarh and at one or two places in Jharsuguda, Sambalpur, Ganjam, Boudh, and Kandhamal districts.

WIND WARNING

November 15: Squally wind speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph is likely over West central and adjoining Northwest Bay of Bengal and along and off Odisha and adjoining north Andhra Pradesh coasts

November 16: Squally weather (wind speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph) over Northwest and adjoining West central Bay of Bengal, along and off Odisha and adjoining north Andhra Pradesh coasts.

November 17: Squally weather (wind speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph) along and off Odisha, West Bengal and adjoining Bangladesh coasts.

November 18: Squally weather (wind speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph) likely over Northwest and adjoining West central Bay of Bengal, along and off Odisha, West Bengal and adjoining Bangladesh coasts.

Semiliguda in Koraput district recorded the lowest minimum temperature of 12.4 degree Celsius followed by Koraput and G Udayagiri in Kandhamal at 12.6 degree Celsius each, and Daringbadi and Phulbani, also in Kandhamal, at 13.5 and 14 degree Celsius, respectively. The night temperature also dropped to 15 degree Celsius at Nabarangpur, 15.5 degree Celsius at Kirei and 16.5 degree Celsius at Bhawanipatna and Boudh. Rourkela recorded 16.7 degree Celsius while the twin cities of Bhubaneswar and Cuttack saw the mercury drop to 19.8 and 19.5 degree Celsius, respectively.

With the likely formation of a low pressure area over Southeast Bay of Bengal around November 14, and its intensification into depression over Central and adjoining South Bay of Bengal around November 16 after moving westnorthwestwards, light to moderate rain is likely to resume in Odisha from November 15.

“A cyclonic circulation lies over Gulf of Thailand and it is likely to emerge into Andaman Sea on November 13. Under its influence, a low-pressure area is likely to form over Southeast Bay of Bengal around November 14. It is likely to move westnorthwestwards and intensify into a depression over Central & adjoining South Bay of Bengal around November 16,” the MeT office said in its midday bulletin.

Rainfall is expected in parts of coastal and interior pockets under the influence of the possible system, Umashankar Das, a scientist of the regional IMD centre in the city, said. However, there will be no major change in the night temperature during next 4-5 days.

RAIN FORECAST

November 15

Light to moderate rain/thundershower may occur at a few places in South Coastal Odisha, Malkangiri, Koraput, Rayagada, Cuttack, Jagatsinghpur and at one or two places over the districts of Balasore, Bhadrak, Jajpur and Kendrapada

November 16

Light to moderate rain/thundershower is likely at a few places in Coastal Odisha, Dhenkanal, Mayurbhanj, Keonjhar and at one or two places in Angul, Boudh, Kalahandi, Kandhamal, Rayagada, Koraput and Malkangiri districts.

November 17

Light to moderate rain/ thundershower may occur at a few places in North Coastal Odisha ,Mayurbhanj, Keonjhar, Angul, Dhenkanal, Boudh, Nayagarh, Khurda, Puri and at one or two places over the districts of Sundargarh, Deogarh, Kandhamal, Kalahandi, Ganjam, Gajapati, Rayagada, Nabarangpur, Koraput and Malkangiri.

November 18

Light to moderate rain/thundershower may continue at one or two places in North Coastal Odisha, Mayurbhanj and Keonjhar districts.

Fishermen have been advised not to venture into these areas.

>> Squally weather with wind speed 40-45 kmph gusting to 55 kmph over Southeast Bay of Bengal and adjoining Andaman sea on November 14-15.

>> Squally weather with wind speed 40-45 kmph gusting to 55 kmph over Westcentral Bay of Bengal and adjoining Eastcentral Bay of Bengal, adjoining Southwest and Southeast Bay of Bengal during November 15-16.

It is likely to move northwestwards and intensify into a depression over west central Bay of Bengal by Sunday. Thereafter, it is likely to move north-northeastwards towards Bangladesh and adjoining West Bengal coasts and intensify further during subsequent 3 days.

Under its influence, squally weather with surface wind speed reaching 45 to 55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph is likely on Sunday over the deep sea area of westcentral Bay of Bengal and 50 to 60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph on October 23 and 24 over west central adjoining north Bay of Bengal.

Squally weather with gusty surface wind speed reaching 45-65 kmph is also likely along and off Odisha coast from October 24. The sea condition will be rough to very rough over these areas during above mentioned period.

Fishermen are advised not to venture into deep sea area of West central Bay of Bengal from Sunday, over west central Bay of Bengal from October 23 and along and off Odisha coast and north Bay of Bengal during October 24 to 26. Fishermen whoever in deep sea are advised to return to the coast by Sunday.

While no warning of heavy rain has been issued by the IMD for Odisha, several places in the state may receive light to moderate rain or thundershower under its impact on October 23 and 24 during Dussehra.

As per MeT forecast, light to moderate rain or thundershower is likely to occur at some places over coastal Odisha and at one or two places over Mayurbhanj, Keonjhar, Angul, Dhenkanal, Kandhamal, Rayagada, Koraput, and Malkangiri districts on October 23.

Light to moderate rain or thundershower is likely to occur at many places over coastal Odisha and at a few places over the districts of Mayurbhanj, Keonjhar, Angul, and Dhenkanal and at one or two places over the rest districts of Odisha on October 24.

According to the midday bulletin, heavy to very heavy rainfall (7 to 20 cm) is likely at isolated places in Keonjhar, Mayurbhanj, Deogarh, Sambalpur, Boudh, Kandhamal and Angul districts till 8.30 am on Tuesday. Yellow warning of heavy rainfall (7 to 11 cm) has also been issued for isolated places in Dhenkanal, Sundargarh, Jharsuguda, Bargarh, Balasore, Bhadrak, Jajpur, Cuttack, Nayagarh, Ganjam, Kalahandi, Balangir, Sonepur, Koraput, and Malkangiri. Thunderstorm with lightning is likely to continue during the day across the state and people have been advised to take shelter at safe places to protect themselves from lightning strikes.

On September 5, heavy to very heavy rainfall (7 to 20 cm) is likely at isolated places in Malkangiri, Koraput and Nabarangpur. Heavy rain may also lash isolated places in Rayagada, Kandhamal, Boudh, Nuapada, Balangir, Bargarh, Jharsuguda, Sundargarh, Keonjhar, Mayurbhanj, Kalahandi, Sonepur and Sambalpur.

The weather agency has warned of temporary waterlogging at low-lying areas, poor visibility during intense spells of rain and traffic congestion in urban areas on these two days. There is also a possibility of inundation of low-lying agricultural fields. Farmers have been advised to postpone fertilizer/chemicals application in agricultural field and keep livestock/domestic animals at safe places.

The intensity of rain in the state is likely to decrease thereafter.

On September 6, heavy rainfall (7 to 11cm) may occur at isolated places in Malkangiri, Koraput, Nabarangpur, Rayagada, Gajapati, Ganjam, Nuapada, Keonjhar, Mayurbhanj, Kalahandi, and Balangir. Similar warning has been sounded for the subsequent 24 hours (September 7) with heavy rainfall likely at isolated places in Sundargarh, Keonjhar, Jharsuguda, Sambalpur, Bargarh, Sonepur, Balangir, Nabarangpur and Nuapada. There is no heavy rain warning thereafter.

Notably, the state recorded 815.2 mm rainfall against its normal value of 952.5 mm till September this monsoon season with 10 districts, including Nabarangpur, Kalahandi, Ganjam, Kendrapada and Jagatsinghpur, in deficit zone and the rest 20 in the normal category.